Liberté, Egalité, Fraternité
Ou la mort!
The catchphrase for these coming presidential elections is ‘Calm Rupture’. And that says it all about the mindset of the French as the country hurtles on into May’s big showdown. The phrase comes from the poll leader at the moment one Nicolas Sarkozy who is the Hungarian originated thorn in the side for the encumbent Jacques Chirac and captures succintly the dual desire for both radical change and eternal consistency with the past. Such is the paradox of French politics,which has to be said, is incredibly interesting and far different from what we’re used to at home.
For a start, not just any Jackie Healy Rae or rich county councillor can enter the political arena. They would have no credibility. Instead, the decision makers here have come through special Universities specifically designed to forge the leaders of tomorrow. The most well known of which is Science-Po, a place a certain Tiger is busily trying to enter. These people can talk and defend themselves from almost any argument or verbal attack possible. In a word : Professionals. And they need to be, because almost every week the appear on lengthy TV shows answering questions from the public LIVE about their proposals for bringing the country back to it’s haughty position of yore. Very, very interesting to watch.
So just who are the main hopefuls for this election? Let’s take a glance at their pants.
The Neo-Napoleon.
http://tempsreel.nouvelobs.com/file/153557.jpg
This is Sarkozy of the UMP whose tough stance on immigration and security are a bit of an obvious backlash to the countries housing, unemployment and identity problems but so far he is leading the sondages and is easily the most cunning orator of them all. A pint-sized hyper-energetic go-getter Sarkozy has been on the political scene since he graduated from SP at 22 and is currently standing down from his position of Interior Minister in order to stab his old master further in the back. Got to respect that at least. Got into trouble with the ethnic communities for using the forbidden word racaille when the cameras were on him but it doesn’t seem to have diminished his popularity. A dangerous man
The Matriarch
http://www.rfi.fr/actufr/images/076/segolene_royal_20060406.jpg
The amazingly well preserved Ségolene Royal vows to gather France to her bosom and not only become the first female president in an outrageously mysogynistic culture but do so with hardly any real policies whatsoever. Paxed to the leader of the Socialist Party, Francois Hollande, Ségo has also been around for donkey’s years (working under Mitterand) but is nevertheless presenting herself as a fresh face for the future. Full of smiles and effortless élan in her chanel suits and seamless poise she may be but it’s hard to see enough women voting for her over Sarkozy because, despite all her talk about family and care, the fact is French women hate other French women. C’est tout Madame.
The Headmaster
http://www.interet-general.info/IMG/Francois-Bayrou-6.jpg
From the centre (Moderation Now!) comes Francois Bayrou who would be my and G’s personal preference for the job. A cool courgette if ever there was one, Bayrou is a former man of letters and it shows in his precise delivery, though not as vociferous or vindictive (Positive qualities in France you must understand) as Sarko, he nonetheless appeals to the intellos. This ain’t his first rodeo either and his policies are well structured, thought-out and convincing. Problem is, not new and in some ways he represents the elitism that perhaps voters tire of. He is old school but not distanced. The turning point for us was the clip (see Youtube here - Check out:http://www.ina.fr/archivespourtous/pop.php?id=2f0163853be19a4de02bb565279df30f) of him slapping a youngster who was trying to pick his pocket at a rally across the face. Brilliant television.
The Nightmare
http://getthepicture.free.fr/Portraits/JPG/Le%20Pen%20Jean-Marie%20-%20Damien%20Lafargue.jpg
And so at last we come to Jean Marie Le Pen a man who needs no introductions other than a shudder of fear. The now 83 year old leader of the Front National is still as popular as ever in this increasingly rascist ‘Maghrebi paradise’. Le Pen hasn’t slowed down and though he laughs and makes points that are purposefully difficult to argue against you just know that once in power it would be a disaster for the liberal way of life. There would be nowhere to hide for the gays, even less chance of employment for anyone with even slightly sallow skin and probably a return to the Franc. And worse, even if he were to die tomorrow, his daughter Marine is almost worse than him and just about ready to assume the mantle. He appears on satirical latex puppet show Les Guingnols as a velour clad urban youth who says ‘hype’ etc. The truth is, he’d burn the banlieus if he could.
So that’s the fancies for this Derby. Valleybet.com will give you:
2/1 Sarkozy
6/1 Royal
10/1 Bayrou
15/1 Le Pen.
However I’ll be offering evens on Royal if she gets into the second round.
On verra...

